The United States Federal Reserve has been contemplating a change in the way it responds to a possible increase in inflation. Previously, the Fed would kickstart tightening if its models forecast a 2% inflation increase. However, this time, the Fed wants to allow inflation to stay above its 2% target before raising rates.
Morgan Creek’s Anthony Pompliano believes that due to Fed’s poor track record with inflation targets, it might end up stoking “inflation at the exact moment that they should be reigning it in.” Pompliano anticipates “real estate, gold, Bitcoin and stocks” to rally much higher than the current levels, with Bitcoin (BTC) rising the most.
Daily cryptocurrency market performance
Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360
This week, Real Vision founder and CEO Raoul Pal pointed out that Bitcoin was the only asset that has “offset the growth of the G4 balance sheet.” Therefore, Pal believes that Bitcoin might be the only asset worth owning in the long term.
Meanwhile, Pantera Capital founder Dan Morehead said that Bitcoin has grown at the rate of 209% annually for the past nine years. If it maintains this growth rate, it could reach $100,000 in about two years.
After the up move on Aug. 5, Bitcoin formed a doji candlestick pattern on Aug. 6, which showed hesitation among the bulls. The failure of the bulls to push the price above $12,113.50 has resulted in profit booking by the short-term traders.
BTC/USD daily chart
BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears will use the weakness to their advantage and attempt to sink the BTC/USD pair to the 20-day exponential moving average ($10,798). A strong bounce off this support will signal buying on dips and will increase the possibility of a break above $12,113.50.
However, a break below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) will indicate weakness and could drag the pair to the critical $10,400–$10,000 support zone.
The bulls will attempt to defend this zone aggressively. A strong bounce off it could keep the pair range-bound between $10,400 and $12,113.50. The moving averages are sloping up, and the relative strength index (RSI) is close to the overbought zone, which suggests that bulls are in command.
The rebound off the $366 support hit a resistance at $407.295. Ether (ETH) had formed an inside day candlestick pattern on Aug. 6, which suggested indecision among the bulls and the bears about the next directional move.
ETH/USD daily chart
ETH/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView
This uncertainty has been resolved to the downside today, suggesting that the bears have overpowered the bulls. The first support on the downside is $366, and if it cracks, the correction can deepen to the 20-day EMA ($337).
If the ETH/USD pair rebounds off the 20-day EMA, it will be a positive sign, and the bulls will again attempt to resume the uptrend by pushing the price above the $415.634 resistance. Above this level, the next target to watch out for is $480.
However, if the 20-day EMA cracks, it will indicate that the bulls are not buying the dips. This could intensify selling and result in a drop to $300.
XRP’s intraday range has been shrinking since Aug. 2, which suggests a lack of clarity among the bulls and the bears about the next likely move. This has formed a pennant, which is known to act as a continuation pattern.
XRP/USD daily chart
XRP/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView
If the XRP/USD pair breaks out and sustains above the pennant, the bulls will try to push the price to $0.326113 and then to $0.346727. A break above this resistance will be a huge positive and could result in a move to $0.50.
However, the RSI is still above 78 levels, which suggests that the pair has run up sharply in the short term; hence, it might catch its breath for a few days. The bulls might face stiff resistance in the $0.326113–$0.346727 zone.
The pair will signal a deeper correction if the bears sink and sustain the price below the immediate support at $0.284584.
After forming an inside day candlestick pattern for three successive days, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) broke above the immediate resistance at $304.79 on Aug. 6, which indicates that the bulls have overpowered the bears.
BCH/USD daily chart
BCH/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView
The buyers will now try to push the price above the overhead resistance at $353. If they succeed, a rally to $400 is possible. The upsloping 20-day EMA ($279) and the RSI in the positive territory suggests that the bulls have the upper hand.
Contrary to this assumption, if the BCH/USD pair turns down from the $337.90–$353 resistance, a few more days of consolidation between $280 and $353 is likely. A break below $280 will tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.
The bulls are attempting to push Bitcoin SV (BSV) to the overhead resistance at $260.86, but the move lacks momentum, which shows a lack of urgency among traders to buy at current levels.
BSV/USD daily chart
BSV/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView
This sentiment could keep the BSV/USD pair stuck inside the $200–$260.86 range for a few days. The 20-day EMA ($213) is rising, and the RSI is in the positive zone, which suggests an advantage to the bulls.
If the bulls can propel the pair above $260.86, the uptrend is likely to start. The first target is $320, and then $382.47. This bullish view will be invalidated if the bears sink and sustain the pair below $227. Such a move will signal a lack of demand at higher levels.
Litecoin (LTC) is likely to remain range-bound between $51 and $65.1573 for a few days. The bulls have been gradually pushing the price higher for the past few days, but without a pick up in momentum, a breakout above $65.1573 is unlikely.
LTC/USD daily chart
LTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView
If the LTC/USD pair consolidates near the top of the range, it will indicate strength. The rising moving averages and the RSI in the positive territory suggest that bulls have the upper hand.
A break above $65.1573 is likely to start the next leg of the uptrend, with the target objective at $80. Contrary to the assumption, if the pair turns down and breaks below $55, a drop to $51 is possible. A break below this support will be a huge negative.
Cardano (ADA) has repeatedly consolidated (marked as ellipses on the chart) after every sharp rally in this leg of the up move that started in mid-March. Following the surge on July 26 and 27, the altcoin has again entered a range.
ADA/USD daily chart
ADA/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView
The previous consolidation lasted for 15 days, while the current range is 11 days old. If history repeats itself, the bulls might attempt a breakout early next week.
If the bulls can sustain the price above the $0.15–$0.1543051 resistance, the uptrend is likely to resume with the next target objective at $0.173, and then $0.20.
This bullish view will be invalidated if the ADA/USD pair turns down from the current level and plummets below $0.13.
Chainlink’s LINK corrected on Aug. 5, but the decline was shallow, and there was no follow up selling on Aug. 6. This attracted buyers because when the uptrend is strong, traders view every dip as a buying opportunity.
LINK/USD daily chart
LINK/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView
However, the up move is again facing selling pressure today, which suggests profit-booking by traders. The RSI remains in a bearish divergence, which points to a weakening momentum and warns of a possible correction.
A break below $8.908 could intensify selling, and if the bears can sink the LINK/USD pair below the 20-day EMA ($8.35), the decline could extend to the 50-day simple moving average ($6.6).
On the other hand, if the bulls again buy the dips, the pair is likely to rally to its target objective of $11.